Breakthrough in the Arctic
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (20 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
941 | 978 | 45% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
1045 | 883 | 72% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
1031 | 1122 | 37% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
1097 | 1133 | 45% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
919 | 929 | 49% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
1045 | 880 | 72% | 2023-12-23 | Won |
982 | 1179 | 24% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1209 | 1330 | 33% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
1135 | 928 | 77% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
1159 | 940 | 78% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1135 | 1323 | 25% | 2023-06-10 | Tied |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
1102 | 979 | 67% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
1025 | 1323 | 15% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1398 | 1016 | 90% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
784 | 1159 | 10% | 2023-02-22 | Lost |
1045 | 880 | 72% | 2023-02-16 | Lost |
1159 | 784 | 90% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
1323 | 1055 | 82% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1045 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).