Breakthrough in the Arctic
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (23 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1035 | 47% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 991 | 61% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 903 | 80% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
| 996 | 1099 | 36% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 1131 | 39% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 1138 | 45% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 990 | 947 | 56% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1207 | 46% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1257 | 912 | 88% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1122 | 1333 | 23% | 2023-06-10 | Tied |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1008 | 55% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
| 999 | 1333 | 13% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1030 | 90% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1043 | 58% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2023-02-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 924 | 78% | 2023-02-16 | Lost |
| 1257 | 743 | 95% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1087.3 vs 1069.9 has a 52.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).