Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Romanian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1132 | 49% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 902 | 57% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1218 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1059 | 1032 | 54% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1141 | 55% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1051 has a 53.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).