Without Thought of Numbers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 914 | 76% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1010 | 59% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1037 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1133 | 37% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1101 | 41% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1078 | 37% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1036.6 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).