Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 993 | 1113 | 33% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1002 | 1059 | 42% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1031 | 63% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1124 | 37% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1218 | 49% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1211 | 51% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 756 | 1031 | 17% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1077.2 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).