Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 973 | 1123 | 30% | 2026-01-18 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1040 | 45% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1029 | 63% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1121 | 37% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 909 | 1218 | 14% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 909 | 86% | 2023-04-02 | Won |
| 1212 | 946 | 82% | 2023-03-16 | Won |
| 755 | 1030 | 17% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1015 vs 1033.7 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).