Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1080 | 24% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 848 | 941 | 37% | 2025-06-30 | Won |
| 1170 | 1098 | 60% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1053 | 1202 | 30% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1023 | 963 | 59% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1147 | 32% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1065 | 60% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1004 | 83% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 1086 | 60% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1150 | 948 | 76% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 867 | 997 | 32% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 870 | 918 | 43% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 755 | 1226 | 6% | 2023-10-20 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1182 | 50% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2023-08-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1056.1 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).