Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 949 | 86% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 1045 | 52% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 994 | 963 | 54% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 956 | 1145 | 25% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1036 | 62% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 956 | 74% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 943 | 70% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 891 | 917 | 46% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 749 | 1257 | 5% | 2023-10-20 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1125 | 67% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2023-08-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1005 | 52% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1036.4 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).