Good, Lucky, or Both
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2026-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-03-20 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-06-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1000.7 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).