Not Fade Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (17 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 975 | 69% | 2025-02-13 | Won |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 1025 | 1072 | 43% | 2024-09-25 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2024-05-13 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1018 | 77% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1010 | 60% | 2024-03-29 | Won |
| 1013 | 1075 | 41% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 930 | 1029 | 36% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1084 | 65% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1098 | 68% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1013 | 64% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 966 | 983 | 48% | 2023-12-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 953 | 983 | 46% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1042.6 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).