Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 21
Defender wins (German): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1047 | 49% | 2026-01-18 | Won |
| 1220 | 750 | 94% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 938 | 1047 | 35% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1199 | 1189 | 51% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1032 | 69% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 1073 | 70% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 769 | 1003 | 21% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 988 | 1153 | 28% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1143 | 18% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2024-07-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 910 | 884 | 54% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 1220 | 37% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1283 | 37% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 946 | 1343 | 9% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1080.1 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).