St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 778 | 82% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1186 | 34% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 956 | 1182 | 21% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 980 | 49% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 857 | 1007 | 30% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1179 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 993 | 980 | 52% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 989.6 vs 1029.1 has a 44.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).