St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 869 | 1017 | 30% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985.5 vs 1027.1 has a 44.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).