St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2026-09-03 | | Won |
| 1056 | 755 | 85% | 2026-02-06 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1176 | 36% | 2025-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2024-10-19 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-08-10 | | Won |
| 833 | 1028 | 25% | 2024-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-07-13 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2024-07-09 | | Won |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1007 vs 1011.4 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).