St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1213 | 1248 | 45% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1101 | 57% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 997 | 959 | 55% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1029.9 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).