St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 769 | 81% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1211 | 31% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 955 | 1178 | 22% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 1102 | 34% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1179 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1102 | 35% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 985.7 vs 1058.1 has a 39.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).