Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 870 | 906 | 45% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 870 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1158 | 66% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 998 | 74% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 870 | 75% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 1192 | 32% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1220 | 1016 | 76% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1016 | 43% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1156 | 68% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 767 | 1044 | 17% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1031 | 80% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1017.6 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).