Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2025-12-01 | Won |
| 975 | 940 | 55% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 941 | 917 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1181 | 28% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 898 | 75% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1188 | 32% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1249 | 1010 | 80% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1010 | 44% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1285 | 1144 | 69% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1030 | 49% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1014.9 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).