Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (16 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2025-12-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 2025-07-17 | Won |
| 991 | 940 | 57% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1253 | 28% | 2025-04-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 941 | 917 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 1229 | 19% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1052 | 910 | 69% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 941 | 64% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1041 | 1188 | 30% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 999 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1286 | 1186 | 64% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 945 | 1074 | 32% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 780 | 982 | 24% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1044.1 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).