Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (13 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 940 | 52% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 890 | 917 | 46% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1165 | 47% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 927 | 81% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 890 | 81% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 1188 | 43% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1142 | 70% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1002 | 49% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 762 | 1034 | 17% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1032 | 66% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1016.1 has a 55.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).