Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 925 | 62% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1225 | 20% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1208 | 53% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1219 | 986 | 79% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1040 | 72% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106.2 vs 1068.7 has a 55.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).