Courland Cutoff
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 998 | 52% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 1238 | 19% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1135 | 52% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1016 | 73% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1064 | 65% | 2024-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1068 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).