The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1130 | 52% | 2026-02-19 | Lost |
| 962 | 1256 | 16% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 997 | 73% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1180 | 45% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1095 | 46% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 756 | 1081 | 13% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1204 | 32% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 972 | 47% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1114.4 has a 38.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).