The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1263 | 15% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1142 | 997 | 70% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1210 | 38% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1099 | 44% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 755 | 1089 | 13% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 952 | 50% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1009.9 vs 1107 has a 36.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).