The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1029 | 57% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2026-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1258 | 18% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 997 | 81% | 2025-07-26 | D | Won |
| 1143 | 1170 | 46% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1150 | 33% | 2025-05-24 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1080 | 10% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1159 | 37% | 2025-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 935 | 59% | 2025-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1097.3 has a 40.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).