Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Danish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1142 | 30% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1096 | 35% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1096 | 35% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1018 | 48% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1282 | 1025 | 81% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1289 | 1290 | 50% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1095 | 59% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 949 | 58% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 979 | 1107 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 831 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1051.5 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).