Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (22 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Danish): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 972 | 58% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1053 | 1053 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 979 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1269 | 1170 | 64% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1283 | 31% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 1103 | 874 | 79% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 1142 | 31% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 1023 | 864 | 71% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1152 | 30% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1152 | 30% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1064 | 36% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1269 | 1024 | 80% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1170 | 1286 | 34% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1202 | 55% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 1066 | 36% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1088 | 35% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1084 | 827 | 81% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1103 | 874 | 79% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1058.2 has a 53.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).