Mutka Strikes Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2026-06-13 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-05-03 | | Won |
| 948 | 1029 | 39% | 2022-11-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 961 vs 1026.7 has a 40.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).