Polka's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1160 | 47% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1028 | 37% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
| 1139 | 968 | 73% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 762 | 1035 | 17% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1176 | 19% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 932 | 1028 | 37% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 958.1 vs 1038.3 has a 38.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).