Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (5 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 946 | 50% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 948 | 1039 | 37% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1017 | 53% | 2025-08-26 | Won |
| 1025 | 996 | 54% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 994 vs 996.8 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).