First Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (2 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1026 | 52% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 949 | 51% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 998 vs 987.5 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).