Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (10 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 996 | 46% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 1198 | 919 | 83% | 2025-12-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1011 | 56% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2025-09-15 | | Won |
| 979 | 940 | 56% | 2025-08-25 | | Won |
| 1272 | 1161 | 65% | 2025-08-15 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1188 | 25% | 2025-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1040 | 66% | 2025-08-10 | | Won |
| 1023 | 904 | 66% | 2025-07-21 | | Won |
| 1078 | 949 | 68% | 2025-03-09 | D | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1091 vs 1004.1 has a 62.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).