Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1013 | 60% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 1271 | 1170 | 64% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1013 | 70% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1093 | 920 | 73% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1137 vs 1014.8 has a 66.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).