Wilia River Showdown
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1194 | 1062 | 68% | 2026-09-30 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1159 | 26% | 2026-08-19 | | Won |
| 979 | 1159 | 26% | 2026-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 988 | 62% | 2026-08-18 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 921 | 70% | 2025-11-29 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1039.7 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).