To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (24 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1114 | 31% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 979 | 1050 | 40% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1154 | 1106 | 57% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 1013 | 41% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 960 | 999 | 44% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 975 | 64% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1137 | 35% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1200 | 911 | 84% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 985 | 1029 | 44% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1024.5 vs 1023.8 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).