To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (24 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1201 | 51% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 936 | 944 | 49% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1114 | 31% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 944 | 956 | 48% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1105 | 54% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1109 | 944 | 72% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1193 | 38% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 905 | 1010 | 35% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 959 | 978 | 47% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1025 | 1047 | 47% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1153 | 31% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1189 | 911 | 83% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1047 | 41% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1032.3 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).