Escape from Derna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (5 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2018-03-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1037 | 57% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1118 | 68% | 1995-06-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1071.8 vs 1022.8 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).