Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Belgian): 10
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 995 | 52% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1192 | 949 | 80% | 2020-07-02 | Lost |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 974 | 1032 | 42% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1123 | 42% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1053 | 52% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 861 | 951 | 37% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1192 | 939 | 81% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
| 1078 | 1122 | 44% | 2013-07-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1087 | 43% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1014 | 63% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1072 | 49% | 2007-05-25 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2006-04-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-12-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2002-02-09 | Won |
| 1234 | 1118 | 66% | 1995-06-18 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1017.5 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).