Rude Awakening
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1198 | 22% | 2019-06-17 | Lost |
| 981 | 958 | 53% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 978 | 1081 | 36% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2018-09-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2016-07-03 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1036 | 77% | 2015-05-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1019 | 61% | 2002-11-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 1087 | 54% | 1995-06-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1061.5 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).