Retribution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (33 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 108
Defender wins (Italian): 80
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 1164 | 48% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 984 | 53% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 907 | 1142 | 21% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 998 | 69% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1101 | 47% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-02-05 | Won |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 957 | 983 | 46% | 2019-09-24 | Won |
| 948 | 1039 | 37% | 2019-04-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 977 | 54% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 964 | 1030 | 41% | 2016-05-18 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-08-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1088 | 36% | 2015-03-27 | Lost |
| 886 | 982 | 37% | 2014-08-28 | Won |
| 949 | 1038 | 37% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1005 | 987 | 53% | 2013-02-21 | Lost |
| 880 | 998 | 34% | 2012-10-15 | Lost |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1036 | 66% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 1030 | 55% | 2004-05-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1150 | 37% | 2003-12-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1342 | 919 | 92% | 1998-11-29 | Won |
| 1127 | 1020 | 65% | 1995-11-04 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1118 | 49% | 1995-07-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 1994-09-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1050.5 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).