Retribution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (33 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 108
Defender wins (Italian): 80
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-12-04 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2022-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2022-05-01 | | Won |
| 907 | 1152 | 20% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2022-03-04 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1101 | 46% | 2020-10-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2020-02-05 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2019-09-24 | | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-04-10 | | Won |
| 1009 | 986 | 53% | 2018-03-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2017-01-20 | | Won |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2016-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2015-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-08-02 | | Won |
| 1009 | 987 | 53% | 2013-02-21 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2012-02-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2011-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2006-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2004-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2003-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2000-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 919 | 92% | 1998-11-29 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1020 | 61% | 1995-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 1995-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1994-09-17 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1041.5 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).