Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1006 | 34% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 967 | 1075 | 35% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1031 | 40% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1057 | 38% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1081.5 has a 42.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).