On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (23 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 92
Defender wins (Australian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1070 | 38% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1306 | 13% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1256 | 21% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 948 | 66% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 945 | 922 | 53% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1119 | 1108 | 52% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1232 | 1068 | 72% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1042 | 51% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 1070 | 49% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1066 | 51% | 2001-01-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1176 | 41% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 1066 | 984 | 62% | 1993-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1083 | 36% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1086.4 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).