On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (22 on the archive and 119 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 91
Defender wins (Australian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1320 | 12% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 1008 | 1267 | 18% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1139 | 946 | 75% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 963 | 58% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1064 | 47% | 2004-07-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 1070 | 1050 | 53% | 2001-01-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1998-06-30 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1186 | 39% | 1995-01-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 984 | 59% | 1993-04-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 1021 | 45% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1072.8 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).