On the Kokoda Trail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (15 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 54
Defender wins (Australian): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Won |
972 | 1292 | 14% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-10-02 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
1026 | 1153 | 32% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1006 | 924 | 62% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
1120 | 1115 | 51% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
1093 | 1029 | 59% | 2010-01-25 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2006-10-26 | Won |
990 | 1049 | 42% | 1993-03-28 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1077.3 has a 45.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).