Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 400 (57 on the archive and 343 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 189
Defender wins (French): 211
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-06-16 | Won |
1005 | 1204 | 24% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
1041 | 1024 | 52% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
780 | 1032 | 19% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
983 | 998 | 48% | 2020-04-20 | Lost |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-03-10 | Won |
965 | 994 | 46% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
1062 | 929 | 68% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2020-02-13 | Won |
989 | 1025 | 45% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-15 | Won |
881 | 849 | 55% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
1087 | 1150 | 41% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2016-11-29 | Lost |
1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
1036 | 1018 | 53% | 2015-10-20 | Won |
1067 | 1027 | 56% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1062 | 1141 | 39% | 2014-11-06 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2014-10-20 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2014-10-20 | Lost |
1109 | 1160 | 43% | 2014-09-02 | Won |
1108 | 952 | 71% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
1080 | 1097 | 48% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
887 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
861 | 1068 | 23% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
1176 | 1251 | 39% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1012 | 1023 | 48% | 2011-07-08 | Lost |
1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2010-10-10 | Lost |
1062 | 1155 | 37% | 2010-08-30 | Won |
989 | 1019 | 46% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1113 | 1062 | 57% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
975 | 994 | 47% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
1047 | 1037 | 51% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-04 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-01-25 | Lost |
1204 | 989 | 78% | 2009-11-13 | Won |
1115 | 1138 | 47% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
1204 | 992 | 77% | 2009-02-09 | Lost |
998 | 1227 | 21% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
1204 | 919 | 84% | 2008-09-23 | Lost |
1029 | 1095 | 41% | 2007-04-11 | Lost |
1010 | 1026 | 48% | 2006-10-15 | Lost |
1307 | 1360 | 42% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
1053 | 1097 | 44% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1060 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-02-13 | Lost |
1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2000-03-21 | Won |
967 | 949 | 53% | 2000-02-24 | Won |
1087 | 1138 | 43% | 1998-05-23 | Won |
1063 | 831 | 79% | 1997-01-05 | Lost |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 1995-08-10 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1052.4 has a 49.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).