Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 959 | 46% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 980 | 1001 | 47% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 999 | 1229 | 21% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1180 | 29% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1170 | 57% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1045 | 48% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1063.1 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).