Stand Fast the Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 894 | 959 | 41% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 986 | 1023 | 45% | 2024-12-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2024-10-02 | Won |
| 1011 | 969 | 56% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 965 | 1136 | 27% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 1151 | 23% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
| 986 | 948 | 55% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1194 | 53% | 2018-12-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1190 | 54% | 2018-12-24 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2011-02-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 1037 | 48% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1080 | 984 | 63% | 1994-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1065.6 has a 45.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).