On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Finnish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2026-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1197 | 32% | 2024-02-12 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-09-28 | | Won |
| 950 | 1019 | 40% | 2023-03-11 | | Won |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2021-05-09 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2021-04-24 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-04-16 | | Won |
| 950 | 1134 | 26% | 2019-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1098 | 50% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-10-15 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2012-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-10-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.9 vs 1055.3 has a 43.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).