On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1177 | 52% | 2026-01-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1203 | 31% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-09-28 | Won |
| 951 | 1029 | 39% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 904 | 1016 | 34% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 951 | 1138 | 25% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 879 | 65% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1085 | 28% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.1 vs 1047.3 has a 44.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).