On the Borderline
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1190 | 32% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2023-09-28 | Won |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
| 1176 | 982 | 75% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 951 | 1183 | 21% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1018 | 45% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 879 | 64% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2010-10-22 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.1 vs 1032.2 has a 44.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).