Commando Schenke
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 305 (116 on the archive and 189 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 156
Defender wins (Russian): 148
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
1050 | 972 | 61% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
959 | 1004 | 44% | 2023-06-11 | Lost |
1124 | 1067 | 58% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
991 | 1089 | 36% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
1300 | 1289 | 52% | 2023-05-05 | Won |
1075 | 1101 | 46% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
1062 | 961 | 64% | 2023-03-07 | Lost |
930 | 1055 | 33% | 2023-02-16 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
998 | 942 | 58% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
1126 | 1172 | 43% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
973 | 942 | 54% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
1189 | 1173 | 52% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
990 | 858 | 68% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
1020 | 1016 | 51% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
967 | 1212 | 20% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1026 | 1334 | 15% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
919 | 1088 | 27% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
1212 | 942 | 83% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
1106 | 964 | 69% | 2021-08-22 | Won |
1004 | 1011 | 49% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
983 | 916 | 60% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
923 | 1093 | 27% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2020-07-21 | Lost |
988 | 1137 | 30% | 2020-07-16 | Lost |
924 | 1186 | 18% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
1020 | 1034 | 48% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
988 | 1020 | 45% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2019-12-19 | Won |
1021 | 1020 | 50% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
1334 | 1026 | 85% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
916 | 1104 | 25% | 2019-10-14 | Lost |
1009 | 1300 | 16% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
1009 | 974 | 55% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
921 | 1004 | 38% | 2019-03-27 | Won |
1037 | 1156 | 34% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1186 | 1104 | 62% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
1020 | 925 | 63% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
1026 | 1093 | 40% | 2018-10-12 | Lost |
865 | 1191 | 13% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
1003 | 1020 | 48% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
1020 | 982 | 55% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
994 | 1075 | 39% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
994 | 1075 | 39% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
1075 | 1015 | 59% | 2018-06-13 | Lost |
1037 | 1104 | 40% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
984 | 1003 | 47% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
976 | 966 | 51% | 2018-02-16 | Won |
1019 | 963 | 58% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
982 | 1020 | 45% | 2018-01-04 | Lost |
1067 | 842 | 79% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
1067 | 879 | 75% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
842 | 1067 | 21% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
1008 | 943 | 59% | 2017-10-29 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
1067 | 879 | 75% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-20 | Lost |
1016 | 992 | 53% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
991 | 1055 | 41% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-04-03 | Won |
1020 | 967 | 58% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
881 | 901 | 47% | 2017-02-03 | Won |
1088 | 1009 | 61% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
1159 | 1093 | 59% | 2016-07-15 | Tied |
834 | 847 | 48% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
1094 | 1115 | 47% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
1019 | 1059 | 44% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
1032 | 972 | 59% | 2015-02-04 | Won |
1026 | 1334 | 15% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-08-20 | Lost |
1042 | 1019 | 53% | 2014-07-27 | Won |
1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-07-11 | Won |
973 | 1135 | 28% | 2014-07-06 | Lost |
1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
1227 | 999 | 79% | 2014-05-04 | Won |
847 | 926 | 39% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
1212 | 1066 | 70% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
943 | 1300 | 11% | 2014-04-23 | Lost |
1003 | 1097 | 37% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
1003 | 1097 | 37% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
1026 | 1212 | 26% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
1055 | 1104 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1178 | 1427 | 19% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
992 | 1035 | 44% | 2013-03-15 | Won |
927 | 958 | 46% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-08-11 | Won |
936 | 1068 | 32% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
976 | 1022 | 43% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2011-05-12 | Lost |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2010-12-26 | Lost |
1007 | 1093 | 38% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
1156 | 1088 | 60% | 2009-08-20 | Lost |
1067 | 701 | 89% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
992 | 1093 | 36% | 2008-12-03 | Lost |
941 | 879 | 59% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
1037 | 958 | 61% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
997 | 1028 | 46% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
1060 | 1072 | 48% | 2006-08-14 | Lost |
Attacking (59 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1046.5 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).