Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 1264 | 35% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1039 | 37% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1198 | 960 | 80% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 854 | 940 | 38% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1037.3 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).