Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 808 | 81% | 2026-06-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1197 | 41% | 2026-01-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 1125 | 31% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1243 | 1218 | 54% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1069 | 958 | 65% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 853 | 942 | 37% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1042.5 has a 49.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).