Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1010 | 54% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1146 | 1192 | 43% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1005 | 949 | 58% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1193 | 961 | 79% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 854 | 998 | 30% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1025.8 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).