Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1161 | 46% | 2026-01-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 1024 | 40% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 1220 | 51% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 944 | 1099 | 29% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 853 | 884 | 46% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1049.7 has a 46.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).