Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 808 | 87% | 2026-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2026-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1003 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1203 | 44% | 2021-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2021-06-09 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2018-06-23 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-06-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2014-12-09 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1043.1 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).