One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
986 | 930 | 58% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1031 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1017 | 1114 | 36% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
1227 | 1275 | 43% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
1022 | 999 | 53% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
1097 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
1227 | 1003 | 78% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
1006 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
1072 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
1083 | 892 | 75% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1009.1 has a 57.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).