One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (22 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 59
Defender wins (Russian): 54
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 753 | 951 | 24% | 2026-03-18 | Lost |
| 1220 | 739 | 94% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1038 | 841 | 76% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1076 | 52% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1069 | 1104 | 45% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1133 | 1038 | 63% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 694 | 90% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1233 | 1005 | 79% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1150 | 60% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1008 | 1096 | 38% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 2000-02-21 | Lost |
| 1077 | 894 | 74% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1008.3 has a 58.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).