The Last Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (7 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 969 | 75% | 2019-12-05 | Won |
| 906 | 898 | 51% | 2016-08-12 | Won |
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1132 | 1035 | 64% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2011-08-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 1095 | 43% | 2005-08-04 | Won |
| 969 | 1063 | 37% | 2004-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 999.1 has a 57.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).