The Last Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (7 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 987 | 71% | 2019-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 898 | 64% | 2016-08-12 | | Won |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2016-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2012-04-29 | | Won |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2011-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-08-04 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2004-08-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1002.6 has a 54.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).