Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (British): 19
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
832 | 878 | 43% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
999 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
980 | 1032 | 43% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
918 | 1060 | 31% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
1167 | 1309 | 31% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
973 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
870 | 1061 | 25% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
1011 | 983 | 54% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
1061 | 1039 | 53% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
1090 | 1141 | 43% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
829 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
829 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
969 | 829 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
1110 | 1000 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
977 | 1153 | 27% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
1153 | 1142 | 52% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
1115 | 1029 | 62% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
1121 | 1140 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1054.3 has a 44.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).