Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2026-06-21 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1066 | 70% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
| 832 | 878 | 43% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
| 983 | 1040 | 42% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1143 | 46% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 906 | 1022 | 34% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1170 | 1239 | 40% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 870 | 1113 | 20% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
| 992 | 984 | 51% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1130 | 48% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 1243 | 30% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2005-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-12-18 | Won |
| 1026 | 1041 | 48% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 978 | 1127 | 30% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1077 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1064.7 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).