Killean's Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (British): 21
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1176 | 29% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
| 832 | 878 | 43% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2024-01-05 | Won |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 938 | 1131 | 25% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
| 920 | 1042 | 33% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-05-11 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1168 | 1232 | 41% | 2014-12-03 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
| 870 | 938 | 40% | 2011-01-30 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 938 | 1117 | 26% | 2009-05-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 1190 | 37% | 2009-03-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2008-10-14 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-12-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1204 | 28% | 2005-08-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2001-05-26 | Lost |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 827 | 969 | 31% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 1264 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-12-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 978 | 1159 | 26% | 1997-05-06 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1997-04-22 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1031 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1059.2 has a 43.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).