ASL Scenario Archive

Killean's Red

Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (33 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (British): 89

Defender wins (German): 42

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (British): 0

Defender wins (German): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Balance	Outcome
1052	987	59%	2026-06-21	D	Lost
1000	1156	29%	2025-08-23		Won
1000	878	67%	2024-12-15		Won
1156	952	76%	2024-01-05		Won
1000	1028	46%	2022-12-07		Won
1000	1088	38%	2021-01-31		Lost
1000	1098	36%	2019-09-03		Won
896	1037	31%	2019-05-26		Won
1000	1038	45%	2018-05-11		Won
1000	1174	27%	2016-09-17		Lost
1116	1035	61%	2015-04-30		Won
1000	1219	22%	2014-12-03		Won
974	1000	46%	2012-08-31		Lost
870	1000	32%	2011-01-30		Won
952	1000	43%	2011-01-05		Lost
1000	1147	30%	2009-05-15		Won
1000	1196	24%	2009-03-08		Won
1016	1000	52%	2008-10-14		Won
973	1000	46%	2006-12-06		Lost
1046	1000	57%	2005-11-05		Won
1036	1000	55%	2005-08-27		Lost
1000	1151	30%	2005-07-01		Lost
1000	827	73%	2001-05-26		Lost
827	1000	27%	2001-05-26		Won
827	1000	27%	2001-05-26		Won
1263	1000	82%	1999-12-18		Won
1040	1000	56%	1999-10-30		Won
1120	1010	65%	1998-12-12		Won
1000	1101	36%	1998-05-16		Won
1000	1100	36%	1997-05-06		Lost
1100	1000	64%	1997-04-22		Lost
1000	1078	39%	1988-01-01		Won
1000	1086	38%			Won

Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1008 vs 1042 has a 45.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).