Guryev's Headquarters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 233 (33 on the archive and 200 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 105
Defender wins (Russian): 126
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 961 | 50% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
992 | 1024 | 45% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
1052 | 941 | 65% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
858 | 1040 | 26% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
968 | 1029 | 41% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2018-08-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
926 | 1013 | 38% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
971 | 983 | 48% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
971 | 1112 | 31% | 2017-11-11 | Tied |
1050 | 1013 | 55% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-12-09 | Won |
1008 | 1009 | 50% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
983 | 973 | 51% | 2012-12-16 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-04-04 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
1049 | 986 | 59% | 2010-07-10 | Won |
986 | 1049 | 41% | 2010-07-10 | Lost |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2010-03-27 | Lost |
1069 | 1108 | 44% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1040 | 1034 | 51% | 2009-10-19 | Won |
1004 | 1008 | 49% | 2009-06-27 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
1083 | 1104 | 47% | 2003-10-09 | Won |
1062 | 975 | 62% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
1227 | 975 | 81% | 1996-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 1019.1 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).