Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (9 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1015 | 43% | 2016-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1997-08-15 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 1995-05-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 1995-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1055.4 has a 42.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).