Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 903 | 1011 | 35% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1248 | 32% | 1995-04-17 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1061.8 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).