Preparing the Way
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (4 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
988 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
883 | 883 | 50% | 1995-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 977.8 vs 990.3 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).