Ripe Pickings
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (11 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 756 | 80% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 756 | 994 | 20% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-05-11 | Tied |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1039 | 49% | 2010-02-19 | Won |
| 866 | 1021 | 29% | 2009-05-16 | Lost |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2003-09-26 | Lost |
| 919 | 1185 | 18% | 1993-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 987.3 vs 984.5 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).