The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1268 | 17% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1203 | 50% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1091 | 45% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1185 | 43% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1145 | 927 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 927 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1194 | 1045 | 70% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1122 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1083.3 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).