Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 408 (49 on the archive and 359 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 214
Defender wins (German): 194
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 1168 | 44% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
1028 | 1167 | 31% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
1095 | 1012 | 62% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
959 | 805 | 71% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
941 | 920 | 53% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
1284 | 1074 | 77% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
1030 | 1022 | 51% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
1210 | 1159 | 57% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
968 | 1039 | 40% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
802 | 1039 | 20% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
1026 | 1015 | 52% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
987 | 1175 | 25% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
998 | 969 | 54% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
997 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
1092 | 994 | 64% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
1068 | 887 | 74% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
1108 | 1049 | 58% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
1169 | 1108 | 59% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
1157 | 913 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
987 | 952 | 55% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
1089 | 1197 | 35% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
979 | 1360 | 10% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
1307 | 1048 | 82% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
1094 | 956 | 69% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
1072 | 987 | 62% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
1030 | 1052 | 47% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
1062 | 984 | 61% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
992 | 894 | 64% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
1227 | 988 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
1175 | 1142 | 55% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1039.9 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).