Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 33
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1158 | 31% | 2026-03-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1043 | 50% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 999 | 69% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 999 | 1027 | 46% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1227 | 27% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1044 | 44% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1121 | 969 | 71% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 804 | 61% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1106 | 66% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1038 | 46% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1029 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 1047 | 47% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 960 | 1220 | 18% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1052 | 51% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1031 | 57% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1024 | 61% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 890 | 74% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1052 | 58% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1129 | 1135 | 49% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1022 | 70% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 906 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
| 960 | 952 | 51% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1208 | 34% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1149 | 38% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1209 | 20% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 1149 | 1430 | 17% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
| 1234 | 1073 | 72% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 1072 | 961 | 65% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1343 | 1047 | 85% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1263 | 45% | 2004-04-03 | Lost |
| 1122 | 949 | 73% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1027 | 86% | 2001-08-19 | Won |
| 1035 | 1097 | 41% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 923 | 1060 | 31% | 2000-01-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1154 | 25% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 984 | 64% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1343 | 19% | 1998-03-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1018 | 47% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
| 1233 | 989 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1159 | 42% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 881 | 83% | 1993-07-09 | Won |
| 1152 | 1129 | 53% | 1993-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1061.7 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).