Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German): 32
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1032 | 51% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1032 | 55% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1095 | 46% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1080 | 44% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1162 | 964 | 76% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 805 | 75% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1221 | 1098 | 67% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1029 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
| 766 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1048 | 993 | 58% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1192 | 21% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1098 | 45% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1058 | 48% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 947 | 1215 | 18% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1096 | 905 | 75% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1098 | 51% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1060 | 57% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1118 | 57% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 906 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
| 967 | 952 | 52% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
| 1092 | 1146 | 42% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1208 | 30% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 996 | 1413 | 8% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
| 1313 | 1047 | 82% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 979 | 65% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1130 | 927 | 76% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 923 | 1039 | 34% | 2000-01-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1154 | 37% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 984 | 62% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 892 | 73% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 989 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
| 1110 | 1115 | 49% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 881 | 87% | 1993-07-09 | Won |
| 1213 | 919 | 84% | 1993-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1039.2 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).