Across the Wire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1125 | 61% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1218 | 823 | 91% | 2019-09-08 | Won |
| 909 | 1028 | 34% | 2016-11-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1048 | 41% | 2003-09-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 1029 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1027.9 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).