The Dinant Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1092 | 30% | 2023-11-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1076 | 46% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-11-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 1989-01-24 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1078.2 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).