Airborne Samurai
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Dutch): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 1087 | 1080 | 51% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1064 | 55% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 937 | 69% | 2011-06-05 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2003-10-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1068 | 46% | 2002-05-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1152 | 55% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1037 | 34% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1044 has a 51.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).