Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 190 (40 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 110
Defender wins (German): 80
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2025-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2024-11-01 | | Won |
| 989 | 1180 | 25% | 2024-06-20 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1001 | 48% | 2024-03-05 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | | Won |
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2023-11-02 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-07-13 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-07-15 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-07-11 | | Won |
| 940 | 1017 | 39% | 2022-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1243 | 989 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | | Won |
| 989 | 1079 | 37% | 2022-01-14 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1156 | 32% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1150 | 926 | 78% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-05-28 | | Won |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2011-08-01 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2010-02-28 | | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-12-29 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1219 | 19% | 2007-05-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 902 | 86% | 2006-03-14 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 980 | 56% | 2004-03-28 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1086 | 70% | 2004-03-13 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2003-06-21 | | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | | Won |
| 981 | 1120 | 31% | 2001-12-13 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2001-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1997-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1997-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-06-04 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 1997-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1037.5 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).