Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (38 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 86
Defender wins (German): 102
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 950 | 79% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 838 | 1045 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1152 | 32% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 891 | 69% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1063 | 55% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 933 | 63% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1008 | 57% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1023 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 1058 | 45% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 920 | 67% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1152 | 33% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 972 | 58% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1112 | 926 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 891 | 81% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 978 | 74% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 891 | 991 | 36% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 891 | 54% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1328 | 11% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1328 | 901 | 92% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1328 | 1284 | 56% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 934 | 979 | 44% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 956 | 985 | 46% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1107 | 33% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 1200 | 26% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 977 | 70% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 936 | 63% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1024.4 has a 51.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).