Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (37 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 85
Defender wins (German): 102
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 839 | 1046 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1117 | 36% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1116 | 47% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 929 | 61% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 998 | 63% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 956 | 917 | 56% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1152 | 33% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 949 | 61% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 931 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 986 | 72% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 992 | 45% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 959 | 44% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1310 | 12% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 901 | 91% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1285 | 54% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 920 | 962 | 44% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1013 | 1248 | 21% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 934 | 64% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1030.1 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).