Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 191 (40 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 110
Defender wins (German): 80
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 942 | 82% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1170 | 26% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1006 | 63% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 932 | 57% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 971 | 1017 | 43% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 986 | 79% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1079 | 37% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 920 | 61% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1139 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1150 | 929 | 78% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1125 | 53% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1143 | 47% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 989 | 69% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1125 | 23% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 1239 | 17% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1239 | 902 | 87% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1239 | 1286 | 43% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1233 | 1086 | 70% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1035 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1120 | 31% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1342 | 1231 | 65% | 2001-06-24 | Won |
| 1067 | 1055 | 52% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1263 | 35% | 1997-10-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 978 | 70% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1077 | 1252 | 27% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1059.7 has a 50.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).