Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (30 on the archive and 148 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 101
Defender wins (German): 76
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 969 | 46% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
1026 | 925 | 64% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
1188 | 939 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
939 | 1096 | 29% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
1192 | 917 | 83% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
1031 | 1131 | 36% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
1013 | 968 | 56% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1115 | 931 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
968 | 1144 | 27% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
1144 | 968 | 73% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
968 | 1144 | 27% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
1095 | 964 | 68% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
968 | 1144 | 27% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
968 | 992 | 47% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
919 | 968 | 43% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
977 | 1300 | 13% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
1300 | 901 | 91% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
1300 | 1287 | 52% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
994 | 962 | 55% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
1227 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
1083 | 929 | 71% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1018.3 has a 54.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).