Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 189 (38 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 86
Defender wins (German): 102
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 998 | 74% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 838 | 1045 | 23% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1152 | 31% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1001 | 52% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 764 | 82% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1064 | 55% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 933 | 63% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1042 | 46% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 920 | 67% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1031 | 1152 | 33% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 964 | 59% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 926 | 75% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 978 | 74% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 764 | 992 | 21% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 764 | 71% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1329 | 11% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
| 1329 | 901 | 92% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
| 1329 | 1285 | 56% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
| 932 | 979 | 43% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 1034 | 969 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1107 | 33% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 1189 | 27% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
| 1115 | 977 | 69% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 936 | 64% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 1015.4 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).