Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1147 | 1136 | 52% | 2003-08-30 | Won |
| 1147 | 1136 | 52% | 2003-04-25 | Tied |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2003-02-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2001-12-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 958 | 58% | 1998-05-20 | Lost |
| 1248 | 971 | 83% | 1994-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1098.6 vs 1065.8 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).