Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1221 | 32% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1115 | 52% | 2003-08-30 | Won |
| 1130 | 1115 | 52% | 2003-04-25 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2003-02-23 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2001-12-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 959 | 59% | 1998-05-20 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1152 | 55% | 1996-09-26 | Won |
| 1213 | 971 | 80% | 1994-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103 vs 1061.5 has a 55.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).