Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (8 on the archive and 93 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
1148 | 1142 | 51% | 2003-08-30 | Won |
1148 | 1142 | 51% | 2003-04-25 | Tied |
1017 | 1001 | 52% | 1998-05-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1102 vs 1086.3 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).