In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 291 (53 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 135
Defender wins (German): 155
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1006 | 52% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 982 | 957 | 54% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 1120 | 45% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1032 | 75% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 850 | 1015 | 28% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1220 | 28% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 1128 | 32% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1220 | 21% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 1102 | 54% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 1131 | 46% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 991 | 1038 | 43% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 978 | 51% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 985 | 50% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 985 | 50% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 961 | 54% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 988 | 57% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 929 | 61% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1026 | 1153 | 32% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1131 | 46% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1052 | 75% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 993 | 60% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1108 | 54% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1218 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1135 | 46% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 875 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1061 | 40% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1017 | 58% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 983 | 52% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 1080 | 60% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1035 | 1031 | 51% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1015 | 48% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1069 | 65% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1263 | 41% | 1998-04-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 929 | 63% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1160 | 26% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1160 | 982 | 74% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1178 | 939 | 80% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 1988-08-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 988 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1057.7 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).