In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 288 (50 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 145
Defender wins (German): 142
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1006 | 52% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 957 | 61% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1089 | 1122 | 45% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 850 | 999 | 30% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1242 | 26% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1242 | 21% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1112 | 37% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 1193 | 24% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 953 | 72% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1047 | 1037 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 931 | 978 | 43% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 931 | 1029 | 36% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 931 | 1029 | 36% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 931 | 959 | 46% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1118 | 931 | 75% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 934 | 63% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 930 | 75% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1109 | 53% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1078 | 54% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 875 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 994 | 1039 | 44% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1016 | 58% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 982 | 48% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1079 | 59% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1035 | 1059 | 47% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1035 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1020 | 47% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1069 | 68% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 929 | 61% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1174 | 25% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1196 | 934 | 82% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
| 1048 | 1118 | 40% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 931 | 75% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1047.3 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).