In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 275 (41 on the archive and 234 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 137
Defender wins (German): 137
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
988 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
930 | 986 | 42% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
972 | 1083 | 35% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
1110 | 1175 | 41% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
937 | 1175 | 20% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
937 | 1088 | 30% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
1028 | 1327 | 15% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
1144 | 971 | 73% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1013 | 978 | 55% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
1013 | 1087 | 40% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
1013 | 1087 | 40% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
1099 | 1013 | 62% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
1003 | 933 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1028 | 1144 | 34% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1245 | 1028 | 78% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
1115 | 1008 | 65% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
878 | 980 | 36% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
982 | 1030 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
1030 | 982 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
972 | 1017 | 44% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
988 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
1030 | 1005 | 54% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
1001 | 994 | 51% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
1083 | 929 | 71% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
958 | 1142 | 26% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
1142 | 958 | 74% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1051.3 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).