In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 287 (49 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 135
Defender wins (German): 151
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1033 | 1006 | 54% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1090 | 1107 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1027 | 1001 | 54% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1045 | 53% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 999 | 30% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1220 | 35% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1220 | 24% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1111 | 37% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1269 | 17% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 995 | 70% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 978 | 40% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 1052 | 31% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 909 | 1052 | 31% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 909 | 960 | 43% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1090 | 909 | 74% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 987 | 934 | 58% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1098 | 70% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1181 | 961 | 78% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1096 | 55% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1060 | 55% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 875 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1034 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1034 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 962 | 1017 | 42% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 979 | 979 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1098 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1131 | 1044 | 62% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1034 | 1058 | 47% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1034 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 932 | 60% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1069 | 64% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1036 | 929 | 65% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1115 | 32% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1115 | 982 | 68% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 934 | 79% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 909 | 74% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1046 has a 49.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).