In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 290 (52 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 145
Defender wins (German): 144
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1006 | 52% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 957 | 58% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1123 | 45% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1002 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1008 | 77% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 850 | 1015 | 28% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1256 | 24% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 1127 | 32% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 989 | 1180 | 25% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1007 | 934 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 1144 | 40% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 975 | 62% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1107 | 54% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 875 | 981 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1036 | 42% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 983 | 58% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1068 | 39% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1016 | 58% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 985 | 982 | 50% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1151 | 1081 | 60% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1036 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 959 | 56% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1069 | 69% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1283 | 38% | 1998-04-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 929 | 64% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1173 | 25% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 982 | 75% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1204 | 939 | 82% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 1988-08-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1053.9 has a 48.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).