St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (5 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1144 | 22% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 919 | 55% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1003 | 50% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
| 847 | 1248 | 9% | 2001-12-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2001-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 948.4 vs 1065.6 has a 33.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).