St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2013-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2009-08-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2004-03-25 | | Won |
| 832 | 1157 | 13% | 2001-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2001-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 968 | 90% | 1999-01-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1019.4 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).