Men of the Mountains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (22 on the archive and 133 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (Montenegrin)): 89
Defender wins (Italian): 65
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (Montenegrin)): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-06-05 | Won |
946 | 947 | 50% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
892 | 931 | 44% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
1198 | 954 | 80% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
1219 | 1219 | 50% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
953 | 1144 | 25% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
1054 | 1036 | 53% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
1063 | 1154 | 37% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
947 | 1207 | 18% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
977 | 947 | 54% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
1065 | 947 | 66% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2005-04-16 | Won |
1057 | 1100 | 44% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
1127 | 1144 | 48% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
1063 | 1118 | 42% | 2001-01-27 | Won |
1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
987 | 1127 | 31% | 2001-01-03 | Lost |
1189 | 1159 | 54% | 2000-12-14 | Won |
1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2000-11-24 | Lost |
1102 | 1028 | 60% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1058.5 has a 49.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).