Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1078 | 53% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1139 | 1116 | 53% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 918 | 927 | 49% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1035 | 47% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1256 | 1208 | 57% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 890 | 73% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 951 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 893 | 74% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 984 | 56% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 928 | 67% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1152 | 44% | 2002-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1293 | 1127 | 72% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1103 | 45% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1028 | 45% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1091 | 57% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1029.3 has a 57.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).