Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1073 | 55% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 928 | 950 | 47% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 956 | 58% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1257 | 1264 | 49% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 1037 | 35% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 889 | 73% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 951 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 942 | 71% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 892 | 69% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 984 | 57% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 928 | 67% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1259 | 1136 | 67% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1036 | 44% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1029 | 40% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1248 | 1080 | 72% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1076 vs 1029.2 has a 56.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).