Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1054 | 48% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1051 | 42% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 913 | 966 | 42% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 945 | 943 | 50% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1094 | 64% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1000.3 vs 1016.4 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).