Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1078 | 49% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 919 | 888 | 54% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1094 | 46% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 979 | 1032 | 42% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 997.6 vs 1005.4 has a 48.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).