By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 35
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1006 | 80% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1042 | 976 | 59% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 954 | 52% | 2024-12-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Lost |
| 1335 | 1249 | 62% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1081 | 43% | 2023-07-26 | Lost |
| 989 | 996 | 49% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 970 | 56% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 950 | 942 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 879 | 73% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 1125 | 48% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 967 | 38% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1019 | 62% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 996 | 55% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 757 | 93% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
| 827 | 1084 | 19% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1053 | 58% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1110 | 1010 | 64% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1019 | 71% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 889 | 878 | 52% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1037 | 39% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 934 | 62% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 889 | 904 | 48% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1035 | 59% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1081 | 53% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 967 | 1073 | 35% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1054 | 49% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1008 | 51% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1037 | 34% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 950 | 60% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 979 | 59% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1054 | 40% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1017 | 61% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1021 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1184 | 32% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1180 | 45% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 1042 | 54% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
| 919 | 1102 | 26% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
| 1102 | 990 | 66% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1102 | 33% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1141 | 47% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1101 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 953 | 76% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1024 | 1068 | 44% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 1098 | 33% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1119 | 85% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
| 1021 | 1274 | 19% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1184 | 32% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
| 1107 | 1180 | 40% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
| 1180 | 986 | 75% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
| 983 | 998 | 48% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1003 | 64% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1019 | 56% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1073 | 54% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 993 | 73% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
| 1184 | 989 | 75% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 847 | 982 | 31% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1031.3 has a 53.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).